Research

rs16944 — IL1B -511C>T

Promoter variant affecting IL-1 beta production, influencing inflammatory response and cardiovascular disease risk

Strong Risk Factor

Details

Gene
IL1B
Chromosome
2
Risk allele
A
Consequence
Regulatory
Inheritance
Codominant
Clinical
Risk Factor
Evidence
Strong
Chip coverage
v3 v4 v5

Population Frequency

AA
15%
AG
50%
GG
35%

Ancestry Frequencies

east_asian
50%
south_asian
45%
european
40%
latino
35%
african
20%

IL-1 Beta Promoter Variant — A Master Regulator of Inflammation

The IL1B gene encodes interleukin-1 beta (IL-1β), one of the most potent pro-inflammatory cytokines in the human body11 one of the most potent pro-inflammatory cytokines in the human body
IL-1β drives inflammation, activates immune cells, and plays a central role in atherosclerosis, sepsis, and autoimmune disease
. The rs16944 variant sits in the promoter region at position -511, where it functions as a genetic dimmer switch controlling how much IL-1β your cells produce22 where it functions as a genetic dimmer switch controlling how much IL-1β your cells produce
The A allele is associated with higher IL-1β mRNA expression, while the G allele produces less
.

This isn't just an academic curiosity — rs16944 influences your risk of sepsis, cardiovascular disease mortality, and inflammatory complications across dozens of conditions33 rs16944 influences your risk of sepsis, cardiovascular disease mortality, and inflammatory complications across dozens of conditions
From aspirin-induced asthma to coronary artery lesions in children, this variant shapes inflammatory outcomes
.

The Mechanism

The -511 position in the IL1B promoter contains a binding site for transcription factors that regulate gene expression44 contains a binding site for transcription factors that regulate gene expression
The C-to-T change (G-to-A on the forward strand) alters the binding affinity of these regulatory proteins
. The A allele creates a promoter configuration that permits higher transcription rates55 The A allele creates a promoter configuration that permits higher transcription rates
This results in elevated IL-1β mRNA and protein levels after immune stimulation
.

IL-1β itself drives a cascade of inflammatory responses: it induces other cytokines like IL-6, activates endothelial cells to express adhesion molecules, promotes prostaglandin synthesis, and recruits immune cells to sites of inflammation66 drives a cascade of inflammatory responses: it induces other cytokines like IL-6, activates endothelial cells to express adhesion molecules, promotes prostaglandin synthesis, and recruits immune cells to sites of inflammation
This amplification loop means a small genetic change in IL-1β production gets magnified throughout the immune system
.

Critically, IL-1β is the key output of the NLRP3 inflammasome77 IL-1β is the key output of the NLRP3 inflammasome
When danger signals like cholesterol crystals, uric acid, or pathogens activate this molecular complex, IL-1β is cleaved from its inactive precursor and released
. Your rs16944 genotype determines how much raw material is available for this process.

The Evidence

The clearest evidence comes from sepsis studies. In 471 preterm infants, the AA genotype was significantly more common in those with early-onset sepsis (p=0.012) and was even more strongly associated with lethal outcomes (p=0.011)88 In 471 preterm infants, the AA genotype was significantly more common in those with early-onset sepsis (p=0.012) and was even more strongly associated with lethal outcomes (p=0.011). In adult sepsis, AA carriers showed higher mortality risk99 In adult sepsis, AA carriers showed higher mortality risk.

For cardiovascular disease, a 15-year follow-up of 2,010 Northern Ireland men found the A allele associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.18, p=0.005)1010 a 15-year follow-up of 2,010 Northern Ireland men found the A allele associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.18, p=0.005). The effect was dose-dependent: one A copy increased risk 18%, two copies increased it 43%1111 The effect was dose-dependent: one A copy increased risk 18%, two copies increased it 43%. This aligns with extensive evidence that IL-1β drives atherosclerosis progression1212 extensive evidence that IL-1β drives atherosclerosis progression
The CANTOS trial demonstrated that blocking IL-1β with canakinumab reduces cardiovascular events in high-risk patients
.

In more specific inflammatory conditions, AA homozygotes show 2.98-fold increased risk of aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease1313 AA homozygotes show 2.98-fold increased risk of aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease, and in children under 12 months with Kawasaki disease, GG carriers (lower IL-1β producers) had significantly reduced risk of coronary artery lesions1414 in children under 12 months with Kawasaki disease, GG carriers (lower IL-1β producers) had significantly reduced risk of coronary artery lesions.

A meta-analysis found the variant associated with silent myocardial ischemia in diabetic patients1515 A meta-analysis found the variant associated with silent myocardial ischemia in diabetic patients
Under multiple inheritance models, the CC/CT genotypes (corresponding to AA/AG in forward orientation) increased risk with OR of 4.68 for homozygotes
.

Practical Implications

If you carry one or two A alleles, you have a genetic predisposition to mount stronger IL-1β responses. This is a double-edged sword: potentially more effective at clearing infections initially, but prone to excessive inflammation that damages your own tissues1616 prone to excessive inflammation that damages your own tissues
Chronic low-grade inflammation accelerates atherosclerosis, increases thrombosis risk, and contributes to age-related disease
.

The cardiovascular connection is particularly important. IL-1β induces IL-6 production, which drives hepatic synthesis of fibrinogen, plasminogen activator inhibitor, and C-reactive protein1717 IL-1β induces IL-6 production, which drives hepatic synthesis of fibrinogen, plasminogen activator inhibitor, and C-reactive protein
This shifts hemostasis toward a prothrombotic state while creating an inflammatory milieu that destabilizes atherosclerotic plaques
. If you're AA and have existing cardiovascular risk factors, you're in a higher-risk category for events.

The sepsis association matters for surgical planning and critical illness. AA carriers may benefit from more aggressive infection monitoring and earlier intervention when signs of systemic inflammation appear.

Interactions

This variant sits within a tightly linked haplotype block with rs1143627 (-31C>T), another functional IL1B promoter SNP1818 tightly linked haplotype block with rs1143627 (-31C>T), another functional IL1B promoter SNP
The two variants are in nearly complete linkage disequilibrium, meaning they're usually inherited together
. When evaluating IL-1β-related risk, consider both variants as a unit.

The IL-1 gene cluster on chromosome 2q13 also includes IL1A and IL1RN (encoding the IL-1 receptor antagonist). Variants in IL1RN can modulate the overall balance between pro- and anti-inflammatory signaling1919 Variants in IL1RN can modulate the overall balance between pro- and anti-inflammatory signaling
High IL-1Ra production may partially buffer the effects of high IL-1β
.

From a pathway perspective, IL-1β functions upstream of many inflammatory cascades. Variants in downstream genes like IL6, TNF, and CRP may compound or mitigate the effects of rs16944 on disease risk.

Genotype Interpretations

What each possible genotype means for this variant:

GG “Low IL-1β Producer” Normal

Lower inflammatory cytokine production

You have two copies of the G allele, associated with lower IL-1 beta production. About 30-40% of Europeans share this genotype. Your cells produce less IL-1β in response to inflammatory stimuli, which generally translates to reduced chronic inflammation and lower cardiovascular risk from inflammatory mechanisms.

AG “Intermediate IL-1β Producer” Intermediate Caution

Moderately elevated inflammatory response

The heterozygous state produces an intermediate phenotype. Studies show AG carriers have IL-1β levels between GG and AA homozygotes. The all-cause mortality data from the Northern Ireland PRIME study showed AG carriers had a trend toward increased risk (HR 1.18) that didn't reach significance for one copy alone, but the dose-response pattern suggests a real, if modest, effect.

In inflammatory disease studies, AG genotypes typically show intermediate risk compared to the two homozygous states. For example, in aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease, AG carriers had intermediate risk between GG and AA.

AA “High IL-1β Producer” High Warning

Significantly elevated inflammatory cytokine production

The AA genotype shows the strongest associations across inflammatory diseases. In sepsis studies, AA homozygotes had significantly higher mortality. In the PRIME cardiovascular study, AA carriers showed 43% increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.43, p=0.005) compared to GG. In diabetic patients, the AA genotype increased silent myocardial ischemia risk nearly 5-fold (OR 4.68).

Mechanistically, AA individuals show higher IL-1β mRNA in immune cells and elevated protein levels in plasma after stimulation. This creates chronic low-grade inflammation — exactly the milieu that accelerates atherosclerosis, promotes plaque instability, and increases thrombotic events.

The cardiovascular risk is multiplicative with other risk factors. If you have metabolic syndrome, diabetes, hypertension, or dyslipidemia, the AA genotype substantially amplifies your risk trajectory.

Key References

PMID: 31863173

IL1B-511AA genotype increases early-onset sepsis risk and predicts lethal outcome in preterm infants

PMID: 35994463

IL1B rs16944 associated with all-cause mortality in Northern Ireland men (HR 1.18)

PMID: 29073957

IL-1β as therapeutic target in atherosclerosis - biological basis review

PMID: 22132000

IL1B-511 AA genotype increased in aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease (OR 2.98)

PMID: 31093510

rs16944 GG and rs1143627 AA increase coronary artery lesion risk in Kawasaki disease